Note: Single-source report; awaiting corroboration.
An OECD analysis reports that artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to raise real incomes worldwide, though benefits will be unevenly distributed among OECD and G20 countries over the next decade.
The report states that countries with advanced digital infrastructure, strong capacity to adopt AI, and large knowledge-intensive service sectors—such as Ireland, the United States, Luxembourg, Switzerland, and Korea—could see the largest increases in per capita real income. In a medium-adoption scenario, AI could contribute up to 0.93 percentage points to their annual income growth.
In contrast, economies with slower AI adoption and sectors less exposed to AI, including Mexico, Colombia, and several emerging economies, are likely to experience more modest income growth, sometimes as low as 0.1 percentage points per year.
The analysis notes that while other technologies might affect future productivity, AI alone may only modestly impact real income growth in some countries over the next decade. It suggests that a country's readiness—covering skills, digital infrastructure, and adoption capacity—as well as integration with global trade networks, are crucial for capturing AI's benefits and improving living standards.