Note: Single-source report; awaiting corroboration.
Rainfall in Somalia is forecast to remain uneven, with precipitation mainly concentrated in southern districts including Lower Juba, Bay, and Gedo regions. Northern areas are expected to stay mostly dry during the forecast period. Very heavy rainfall is highly localized in Lower Juba, increasing the risk of flash flooding in vulnerable areas. High temperatures persist across central and southern Somalia, complicating the ongoing drought recovery, which continues to be slow and uncertain. The Shabelle River has reached critically elevated levels, posing downstream flood risks according to the latest rainfall forecast issued on 23 April 2026.